Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 205.170069 239.214328 278.682736 328.188996 389.141312 462.405603 558.156640
2025-08-03 161.384114 204.044698 258.907768 336.037349 443.992135 593.372254 822.463116
2025-08-10 134.309985 179.250537 241.270214 335.776638 481.146957 705.365107 1097.128454
2025-08-17 117.372388 163.409900 230.598118 339.933565 522.023760 830.825940 1438.874590
2025-08-24 103.806447 149.512926 219.318430 339.289840 553.120097 947.397149 1814.091750
2025-08-31 93.347168 138.406678 209.976704 339.039498 583.576927 1070.875494 2262.261839
2025-09-07 86.213238 131.333459 205.692752 346.102894 628.543540 1237.117484 2900.485840
2025-09-14 76.803624 119.281659 191.170133 331.558942 626.822409 1302.127958 3318.311584
2025-09-21 71.012559 112.561407 184.890687 331.353648 654.800923 1445.711224 4062.007334
2025-09-28 66.422066 107.342510 180.524083 334.002623 689.631786 1619.896224 5046.430690
2025-10-05 64.830938 107.193853 185.424336 356.587982 777.364145 1976.035641 7066.659619
2025-10-12 63.538574 107.400358 190.965311 381.612547 879.121204 2428.002692 10120.716890
2025-10-19 59.443629 102.339604 186.228869 384.546132 929.575173 2766.564543 13344.468184
2025-10-26 56.330358 98.875407 184.420635 394.549052 1005.823144 3259.689329 18759.201038
2025-11-02 52.702672 93.983698 178.905554 394.272216 1051.791277 3674.498262 24953.162885
2025-11-09 49.890249 90.408326 175.726728 399.355135 1117.663408 4237.370044 34866.771291
2025-11-16 46.955817 86.269233 170.730561 398.568805 1164.098767 4757.415549 47253.043839
2025-11-23 44.352607 82.557293 166.224561 398.262912 1213.053334 5348.720780 65122.995208
2025-11-30 42.541585 80.341713 164.911534 406.899038 1300.707407 6276.939610 99256.214394
2025-12-07 39.377964 74.920547 155.318193 389.126594 1275.998556 6466.049576 118965.392130
2025-12-14 37.463583 72.073643 151.664814 388.876005 1326.062732 7256.198274 172119.198589
2025-12-21 35.888148 69.837857 149.257497 392.110044 1393.995317 8298.609356 266906.082971
2025-12-28 35.581366 70.422568 154.026711 419.735092 1591.097065 10841.318291 608447.388664